July 1st, 2008
The wrong sort of rape
by John B

Jill Saward is a feminist candidate standing against David Davis in the Haltemprice and Howden by-election, on the grounds that putting everyone on a DNA database would be awesome because it’d improve rape conviction rates.

Now, if the problem in getting rape convictions was that there were plenty of cases where DNA samples were taken but the rapist went unidentified, then Ms Saward might have a point. But in practice, this seldom happens - rapes where the victim doesn’t know who the attacker is are extremely rare, and are not the kind where getting a conviction is difficult anyway [*].

The rape cases where rapists are likely to get away are acquaintance rape cases - and in those cases there’s no dispute about whether X had sex with Y, but whether Y consented to it. Which a wacking great DNA database would do precisely nothing to solve. So nice work, Ms Saward, but no thanks…

[*] There are cases of people who’ve been DNA-tested for speeding or thieving turning out to be rapists from many years back. But these make exciting news because they’re extremely rare, which in turn is because stranger rape is also rare and is generally taken seriously by the police. Acquaintance rape is terrifyingly common and is not.

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June 23rd, 2008
Quote of the political season
by John B

On [the internet] if someone gets up with a hangover after drinking 8 pints, the blame lies with the goverment and Gordon Brown” - commenter Eatonrifle on HYS

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June 17th, 2008
Fuel foolishness and the disutility of dissing utilities
by John B

There’s a lot of debate in left-wing-commentaryland at the moment about electricity and gas prices, ‘fuel poverty’, and how these relate to the profits made by energy companies.

The problem is, the debate is nonsense: UK utilities are losing out from high energy prices - and utility bills are currently far too low in any case. Fuel poverty is a measure of a desire to live a particular kind of lifestyle, and if we’re going to cope with energy scarcity and climate change then people need to understand that it’s a lifestyle choice that has real costs.


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June 4th, 2008
Lies and damn lies about statistics
by John B

The mysteriously popular Coppersblog has a piece up claiming - in line with its general tabloid nonsense agenda - that crime statistics are nonsense, that crime is rocketing, and that we’ll probably all be stabbed by the end of the week.

Reasonably disgustingly, it uses the murder of Arsema Dawit as a “OMG, evil teen stabbings” lede. Err, no: this is a horrible murder, but it’s a domestic-violence-obsessive-love horrible murder. Tying it in with ‘let’s all fear the lawless gangs’ concerns is offensive crap; this kind of killing is barely even correlated with overall crime rates in a society…


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May 23rd, 2008
Labour’s dismal electoral strategy
by Nosemonkey

So Labour have lost the Crewe and Natwich election, the Tories winning their first by-election in 26 years. Huzzah.

At last Labour seem to be getting the kind of kicking they’ve long deserved - a kicking I’m hoping might finally shake them out of the complacency that’s seen a supposedly left-wing, pro-EU government with no viable opposition and a massive majority in the Commons (that could have seen it pass pretty much any legislation it wanted during the last decade from joining the Euro to scrapping the idiocy of taxing state pensions and benefits, raising the rate of the tax-free allowance to renationalising the railways) sit back on its fat, hairy arse and do bugger all significant for its last two terms in office.

I’m also very much hoping this is the end to the pathetic Labour “we hate posh people, you hate posh people - come on, vote based on outmoded class antagonisms, petty misplaced jealousies and negatives, negatives, negatives, never positives” electoral strategy. They tried it in London with Boris, and it failed dismally; they’ve tried it in Crewe and it’s failed even more. Serves them right - replace “posh people” with “darkies” and all they’re doing is repackaging the BNP’s electoral strategy from the 70s/80s. Deeply unpleasant - I agree with David Cameron 100% on that one. (Not a phrase you’ll often find me using…)

And yes, yes I do say this in part because by Labour’s standards I’d count as posh. They’re effectively saying “piss off, chum - we don’t want your vote”, and rather neglecting to realise that in the process they’re saying the same thing to all the New Labour-voting middle classes that switched en masse from blue to red in 97, giving them a decade in Number 10. The fucking idiots.

Like it or not, parties are dependant on the middle classes to gain power - part of the reason why both main parties are so blandly indistinguishable these days, because us middle classes all shop equally in Habitat and Ikea and aspire to the same blandly inoffensive faux-original, entirely interchangeable approach from our politicians as we do from our flat-pack interior design. To stick two fingers up to the middle classes ahead of an election is going to do about as much good to your chances as being televised at a children’s party naked and smothered in jelly while raping a teddy bear.

(It’s also perhaps worth reminding press/blog pundits that this was a local election. To ascribe the defeat entirely to either the apparent growing disillusionment with Brown/Labour or the jitters in the economy (as everyone everywhere seems to be doing) is unfair - it ignores the central problem that the local Labour candidate was an arse. Based on every bit of footage I’ve seen of her, and every interview on the radio and in the papers, Dunwoody Jr isn’t even close to being a shadow of her late mum, and repeatedly came across as a lary, unpleasant cow throughout the whole process. If you want to win elections, pick people who are actually worth voting for to fight them for you - not just someone who happens to have the right surname. It’s simple.)

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